VASOR-2

Vermont Assessment of
Sex Offender Risk - 2

A form titled "Vermont Assessment of Sex Offenders" with sections for Reoffense Risk Scale, Most Severity Pursued, and Vulnerability Characteristics. It includes various questions and checkboxes concerning factors like age, prior convictions, substance abuse, and victim characteristics. A person's hand is holding a pen above the form.

The VASOR-2 is designed to assess risk among adult males who have been convicted of at least one qualifying sex offense. It is composed of a 12-item Reoffense Risk Scale and a 4-item Severity Factors Checklist. The Reoffense Risk Scale is statistically derived and is designed to assess risk for sexual and violent recidivism. The Severity Factors Checklist is clinically derived and is designed to describe the severity of sex offenses.

The VASOR-2 can be used as part of a combined static and dynamic risk assessment approach, such as with the SOTIPS. Combined SOTIPS/VASOR-2 scores have predicted sexual recidivism better than either instrument alone.

Background

Statistical output table showing model fitting information, goodness-of-fit, pseudo R-square values, likelihood ratio tests, and parameter estimates for logistic regression analysis.
Risk assessment matrix comparing VASOR-2 static risk and SOTIPS dynamic risk, with categories low, moderate-low, moderate-high, and high, color-coded from green to red.
Two line graphs comparing mean graphing of different types of cases measured by "v2r_log1_total". The top graph contrasts rapists and child molesters, while the bottom graph includes rapists, non-contact offenses, incest, and child molesters. X-axis labeled "Cases weighted by Weight."

The original VASOR was developed in the 1990s, making it one of the first actuarial risk assessments for sexual recidivism. It included a 13-item Reoffense Risk scale and a six-item Violence Scale. Although there was some evidence of predictive validity, it was developed from a conceptual framework during a period when little empirical information on this type of assessment was available.

Many years later, the VASOR was adopted by my jurisdictions throughout the United States, often by probation and parole departments or other authorities responsible for offender decision-making. However, during this time, many advances in the field of risk assessment were made, such as having an improved understanding of the relationship between age and re-offense risk and the intersection of static and dynamic risk factors.

The VASOR-2 demonstrated major improvements on the original VASOR. First, the individual items of the VASOR were examined for their predictive validity; items which were not supported were removed and an “age” item was added. Second, the item weights were simplified to improve consistency in score. Third, the Violence Scale was renamed the Severity Factors Checklist, and its relationship with the Re-offense Risk Scale is now better explained.

Frequently Asked Questions

Close-up of a document titled "Sex Offender Treatment History" with scoring rules and criteria for evaluating treatment history and status, including definitions of treatment terms.